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MY RESEARCH IN EDUCATION & LABOR ECONOMICS​​
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My research aims to understand factors that influence people’s outcomes at school and on the labor market. I am particularly interested in the role of educational policies, such as the design of school admission systems, tracking into remedial education, and expanding access to education for adult learners.
JOURNAL PUBLICATIONS
 
School resources, peer inputs, and student outcomes in adult education 
Economics of Education Review, vol. 96, October 2023 
WP version: IFAU Working paper 2023:9. Swedish report: IFAU Rapport 2024:4.
 

From epidemic to pandemic: Effects of the COVID-19 outbreak on high school program choices in Sweden

Labour Economics, vol. 82, June 2023. Co-authored with Aino-Maija Aalto and Dagmar Müller.

WP version: IZA DP No. 15107Media: IZA Newsroom and Sveriges Radio P4 Jönköping.

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WORKING PAPERS

Abstract: We examine whether parental and school investments reinforce or compensate for student performance. Our analysis exploits school-starting-age rules in 34 countries, capturing achievement variation that arises because younger children typically underperform their older peers. Parents respond to lower performance by providing additional homework help, while schools allocate weaker students to smaller classes and offer more remedial tutoring. Notably, parents provide more support to low-performing children in nearly all countries studied. Compensatory investments increase over grade levels, suggesting parents and schools respond as information about achievement is revealed. Moreover, our evidence suggests that parental and school investments are substitutes.

Abstract: Educational interventions that increase the quality or quantity of school resources may have a limited impact on student achievement if students lack sufficient effort or motivation. A more effective way of raising achievement could be incentivizing students to perform well in school.  In this paper, I study whether students respond to non-financial incentives for higher grades, exploiting a reform in Stockholm that made compulsory school grades the sole criteria for admission to high school.  Using a difference-in-differences design, I find that the reform increased students’ grade point average in compulsory school by 10% of a standard deviation on average. Estimates of the unconditional quantile treatment effects show that the largest shifts occurred just above the middle of the grade distribution, where the performance incentives were strongest. I perform a variety of checks to support the hypothesis that these effects were driven by changes in student effort rather than changes in school grading practices.  My findings suggest that behavioral responses from students drive the results. Thus, strengthening the performance incentives implicit in the design of the education system can have a positive effect on student achievement.

Degree selectivity and teachers' initial job placements. Under revision. To access an old version that was part of my PhD thesis, click here and go to chapter 3 of the manuscript.

Abstract: Teachers with stronger academic credentials tend to work in schools with students from more advantaged backgrounds. This paper contributes to an emerging literature on the mechanisms that drive these sorting patterns. With register data covering all college graduates and teachers in Chile between 2007 and 2020, I examine whether earning a more selective teaching degree has a causal effect on the type of schools where graduates teach at the start of their career. For identification, I exploit a college placement mechanism that generates hundreds of admission cutoffs around which access to more selective teaching programs is essentially random. Using the variation around these cutoffs in a regression discontinuity design, I find suggestive evidence that graduating from a more selective teacher program has an effect on teachers' initial job placements. In particular, it increases the probability of working in more urbanized areas and in publicly-subsidized private schools.

SELECTED WORK IN PROGRESS
 

Reacting to rejection: Information shocks in high school choice
(with Petter Berg)
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Gendered tracks, gendered trajectories: Peer gender composition and student outcomes in Swedish vocational education
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Tertiary adult education and mental health
(with Anders Stenberg)
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The labor market effects of gender-affirming care
(with Ian BurnEmma von Essen, and Ylva Moberg)
 
Legal gender recognition with or without mandated sterilization: Impacts on transgender health and earnings
(with Ylva Moberg, Rinni Norlinder, and Emma von Essen)

©2026 by Lucas Tilley

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